Our colleagues from the Professorship of Geothermal Technologies @ TUM and Chair of Hydrogeology @ TUM quantified project economics for hydrogeothermal in the Molasse Basin probabilistically, which brought a clear message: "Application of an assessment criterion which combines thermal power, cost and the exploration risk to the real-world example showed that 50% of the inventory’s total thermal energy could be tapped with an average levelized cost of heat of less than 30 € MWh-1.
Hereby, less than 30% of the inventory would have to be drilled with a cumulative cost of failure which is reduced by a factor of 30 compared to only assessing potential prospects on their theoretical best performance, which would be similar to a stand-alone “first-come, first-serve” development approach." This work is a continuation of our report on the Masterplan Geothermie Bayern, which assessed the hydrogeothermal potential in the Molasse Basin and highlighted the importance of interconnectors (for district heating) between projects.